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Silver’s industrial demand, mining dynamics and free float mean price rally might not impact supply until it overwhelms it – Sprott’s Zhu
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(Kitco News) – Silver has key differentiators that insulate the impacts of the price action from the underlying supply and demand dynamics – but when investors do pile into silver, the grey metal’s constrained physical supply means the market can go parabolic in a way that gold is unlikely to ever do, according to Kenny Zhu, Director of Research and Investment Strategy at Sprott.
Why silver’s market floor has changed
In this interview, The Silver Institute President and CEO Michael DiRienzo breaks down the structural shifts transforming the global silver market as it decouples from traditional gold-correlated trading patterns.
A cumulative 762 million-ounce (Moz) market deficit over the last five years — equivalent to a full year of global mine output — has left silver facing a severe supply squeeze, compounded by its status as a critical mineral.
While mining companies scale exploration, byproduct limitations continue to constrain supply growth. At the same time, expanding industrial demand across solar energy, electric vehicles (EVs), AI data centres, and nuclear power is setting higher price floors for the metal. This is reinforcing silver’s dual role as both an indispensable technology input and a strategic portfolio hedge.
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Silver Price Forecast: China’s Solar Slowdown Threatens Demand
Silver (XAG) trades near $59 an ounce and remains under pressure as the market receives mixed signals from China. Strong exports and policy support could support industrial demand. But rising factory costs and a slowdown in the solar sector increase the risks. The high bond yields also pressure silver because the metal pays no interest. In my view, silver remains vulnerable as it approaches support at $57.50. This article presents the latest developments in China, the main risks to silver prices and the key support and resistance levels to understand the next move in silver.
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