Tag: economists

  • Economists rush to change interest rate forecasts as jobless rate jumps | Economy crunched as une…

    Economists rush to change interest rate forecasts as jobless rate jumps | Economy crunched as une…

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    Economists rush to change interest rate forecasts as jobless rate jumps

    A drop in female employment has driven the overall fall. (AAP: Dean Lewins)

    The increase in the jobless rate was driven by a drop in female employment.

    Financial markets have now priced in a slightly lower chance of a Reserve Bank interest rate hike next month.

    The unemployment rate rose by 0.2 percentage points to 4.5 per cent in April, up from 4.3 per cent in March, according to the Bureau of Statistics.

    The number of employed people fell by 18,600 in April, while the number of unemployed people rose by 33,000.

    The number of unemployed people looking for full-time work increased by 11,000, and unemployed people looking for part-time work increased by 22,000.

    Economy crunched as unemployment hits highest level since pandemic

    High interest rates, cost-of-living pressures and the war against Iran may have pushed the Australian economy into a downturn after new figures showed unemployment jumping to its highest level since the depths of the pandemic.

    Expectations of further interest rate rises by the Reserve Bank this year dropped sharply after the Australian Bureau of Statistics reported the jobless rate hit 4.5 per cent in April, following a fall of 18,600 in the number of people with a job.

    The epicentre of the job losses was the nation’s biggest economy, NSW, with the state shedding 44,000 positions last month, while those groups most likely to be axed first by businesses at the start of downturn, young people and women, also suffered job losses.

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    Youth job losses push unemployment rate to 4.5pc

    Job losses among younger Australians have pushed up the unemployment rate to an almost five-year high of 4.5 per cent, giving the Reserve Bank of Australia room to leave interest rates unchanged at its next meeting.

    The total number of people employed fell for the first time this year, driven by 56,400 fewer people aged 15 to 24 years old working in April. Youth unemployment is now at 11.1 per cent, the highest since October 2021.

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  • Economists warn fuel price cut likely to come with ‘sting in the tail’ | Fuel tax cuts could mean…

    Economists warn fuel price cut likely to come with ‘sting in the tail’ | Fuel tax cuts could mean…

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    Economists warn fuel price cut likely to come with 'sting in the tail'

    The war in the Middle East has triggered sky-high fuel prices and shortages around Australia.  (ABC News: Timothy Ailwood)

    Economists have warned the government's move to halve the fuel excise to provide some relief from sky-high petrol prices could adversely impact demand for petrol and keep inflation higher. 

    The tax on every litre of petrol and diesel will be slashed for three months from tomorrow, with Treasurer Jim Chalmers estimating it will save Australians about $19 on a 65-litre tank of gas.

    Some economists say the move could mean the Reserve Bank is more likely to increase interest rates again when it next meets in May. 

    Fuel tax cuts could mean interest rate pain

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    Australians could face worse cost-of-living pressures over the coming months despite temporary relief through a cut to the fuel excise.

    From Wednesday, petrol and diesel costs around the nation will be slashed by 26.3 cents a litre as the federal government moves to head off the worst effects of the war in the Middle East.

    That equates to $10.50 on a small 40-litre tank or $21 for Australia's best-selling new car – the Ford Ranger – which has an 80-litre tank.

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    Did Anthony Albanese just cement a third interest rate hike in May by cutting the fuel excise?

    Injecting $1.5bn via petrol subsidies into an inflated economy may change things for the Reserve Bank board at its next meeting

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    Economists will say that what millions of motorists gain in cheaper fuel through the prime minister’s three-month fuel excise cut, they will lose in more expensive mortgages.

    It may be good politics, but injecting $1.5bn via petrol subsidies into an economy that is already struggling with a resurgent inflationary problem is not going to make the Reserve Bank of Australia’s job any easier.

    Jim Chalmers says halving the 52.6c a litre fuel tax for three months will save a motorist $19 at the bowser on a 65-litre tank – and much more for those driving the ubiquitous gas-guzzling utes.

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