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Why are voters cranky enough to turn to Hanson? I have a theory

What strange and puzzling times we live in. Pauline Hanson shot to fame as a disendorsed Liberal candidate before the turn of the century, and I never expected to see the day, 30 years later, where the polls showed her One Nation party getting a fraction more first-preference votes than the Labor government and leaving the Coalition down and out on less than 20 per cent. Hanson for PM?

Meanwhile, it’s a strange and puzzling time for the housing market. Oh, no. The government’s meddling in the budget has house prices falling. Why wasn’t I warned?

I could be wrong, but I doubt we’ll ever see Hanson moving into the Lodge. This is just a further step in the decline of two-party politics. Voters are disillusioned with both sides of politics and looking for some other party or independent to vote for. The sudden popularity of Hanson and One Nation is a sign both sides are on the nose, and voters are looking for a convenient way to protest. If everyone else is piling into One Nation, why don’t I join in?

One Nation takes primary vote lead in Newspoll as Albanese’s ratings slump to record low

Newspoll corroborates two polls I reported last week that had One Nation first on primary votes, although only by one point in Newspoll instead of three points in the YouGov and Redbridge polls.

Anthony Albanese’s net approval slumped seven points to -24, a record low below his previous record low -21 in February 2025.

This article also includes coverage of the June 2 US California jungle primary and the June 18 UK Makerfield byelection. A Queensland state poll gave the LNP a big lead.

A national Newspoll, conducted June 1–4 from a sample of 1,240, gave One Nation 31% of the primary vote (up four since the previous Newspoll that was taken after the May 12 budget), Labor 30% (down one), the Coalition 18% (down two), the Greens 11% (down one) and all Others 10% (steady).

One Nation surges into first place for primary support – but the ALP is still favoured to win a two-party preferred majority

In the last week One Nation primary support increased 2.5% to 29.5% and is now clearly ahead of the ALP, down 1% to 26% and the L-NP Coalition, down 2.5% to 17.5% – Liberals on 14.5% (down 3%) and Nationals 3% (up 0.5%). Support for the Greens was up 2% to 15.5%, and Independents/ Other Parties down 1% to 11.5% according to the Roy Morgan survey conducted from June 1-7, 2026, with a representative Australia-wide cross-section of 1,631 electors.

This is the first time in a Roy Morgan Federal Poll that One Nation has been ahead of both the ALP (by 3.5% points) and the L-NP Coalition (by 12% points).

Since the Federal Budget was delivered by Treasurer Jim Chalmers on Tuesday May 12, 2026, primary support for One Nation is up 5% points to 29.5%, ALP support is down 3.5% points to 26%, L-NP Coalition support is down 6.5% points to 17.5%, and Greens support is up 4% points to 15.5%.

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