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Tommy McMillen vs. Alberto Montes prediction, pick for UFC Fight Night 281
Tommy McMillen and Alberto Montes meet in the UFC Fight Night 281 main card opener Saturday at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Okla. Check out this quick breakdown of the matchup from MMA Junkie analyst Dan Tom.
McMillen (10-0 MMA, 1-0 UFC) brings a lot of hype into the octagon with him for his sophomore appearance. In his UFC debut in April, he finished Manolo Zecchini in the first round, earning a Fight of the Night bonus for the wild, but short affair.
Montes (11-1 MMA, 1-0 UFC) also enters his second UFC bout. His debut was in March, when he submitted Ricky Turcios in the second round, earning a Performance of the Night bonus.
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Tommy McMillen | Welcome to The Gun Show
Tommy McMillen has amassed a perfect record through the first 10 fights of his professional career, claiming eight of those wins between 2023 and 2025, culminating in his Dana White’s Contender Series win over David Mgoyan last fall in Las Vegas. All but the victory that earned him a place on the UFC roster came by first-round stoppage, and the majority of them came while McMillen was dealing with a pinched sciatic nerve that limited his ability to prepare.
“People don’t understand how bad of an injury I was dealing with,” McMillen said ahead of his fight with Alberto Montes in Oklahoma City. “It was a two-year injury — a pinched sciatic nerve in my back, so any time I would do any kind of running, jumping, training, my foot would go numb… For the Mgoyan fight, I walked out and my foot was numb; it was hard to warm up. I didn’t get to grapple at all for that camp and I shut down a high-level grappler — people don’t put enough respect on that kid’s name; he’d beat a lot of guys in the UFC — and I was able to shut down his wrestling without wrestling or grappling in camp, or for a prior year before that.
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