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Poll shows One Nation Reaching New Heights
New federal polling shows the Coalition and One Nation are tied on a 23 per cent primary vote while Labor’s vote has fallen to 29 per cent.
The DemosAU Poll, first published in Capital Brief, -5.6 per cent swing against Labor since the May 2025 election and the -8.8 per cent swing against the Coalition has led to a swing of +16.6 per cent to One Nation.
In the first published federal voting intention poll of the year, the Greens and Others recorded primary votes of 12% and 13% respectively.
On a two-party preferred basis between Labor and the Coalition, Labor led 52-48 per cent.
One Nation hits historic high in bombshell opinion poll
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Right-wing minor party One Nation' s popularity has skyrocketed with Australian voters to tie it with the coalition for the first time.
The first major poll in 2026, conducted by Demos AU for Capital Brief, has found almost a quarter of the electorate (23 per cent) would choose firebrand Pauline Hanson's party in primary voting.
That cut-through has been buoyed with its hardline conservative positions trumpeting anti-immigration stances after the Bondi beach massacre, where 15 people were gunned down on December 14.
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