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A tropical low east of Alice Springs could make for a rare tropical system centred over Australia's southern states. (Supplied: Tim Rumble)
The driest belt of Australia is in the middle of its wettest month in decades, and weather modelling is tipping the outback rain will reach southern Australia this weekend.
For some parts of South Australia and Victoria in drought, the rain could arrive just in time to prevent the driest summer in more than 100 years.
Adelaide has seen a paltry 6 millimetres this season, currently the lowest summer total since 1906, while Melbourne's 46mm is running at a 23-year low.
Visiting Fellow, School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, University of Technology Sydney
Professor, School of Mathematical And Physical Sciences, University of Technology Sydney
The authors do not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and have disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.
University of Technology Sydney provides funding as a founding partner of The Conversation AU.
Over the past decade, southern Australia has suffered numerous extreme weather and climate events, such as record-breaking heatwaves, bushfires, two major droughts and even flash flooding.
While Australia has always had these disasters, our research reveals these new extremes are the result of dramatic climate-driven changes in the upper atmosphere above Australia.
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Discover why it's trending. »
Substantial rain is on the horizon for drought affected parts of Australia's south-east, bringing welcome relief for struggling locals.
Large parts of South Australia and Victoria are within their driest two-year spell on record, but substantial rain is on the horizon.
The best falls in more than a year on the way for some parts, bringing welcome relief for struggling locals.
Australia is coming towards the end of its fifth La Nina event in the last six years – with just one El Nino in that time.
It’s been the longest spell on record without a neutral year.
In fact, all of the most recent six years have exceeded Australia’s 1961-1990 average.
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