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Texas 2026 Primary Poll: Talarico & Paxton with Narrow Edges in Senate Primaries
Republican Primary Voters Head to Likely May Runoff between Paxton and Cornyn
The final Emerson College Polling/Nexstar Media survey of Texas likely primary voters finds State Rep. James Talarico with a narrow edge over U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the Democratic Primary for US Senate: 52% to 47%. Since the January survey, support for Talarico increased by five points, and support for Crockett increased by nine points. The poll results are within the survey’s margin of error.
“Talarico holds a sizable advantage among voters who voted early, 58% to 41%, while Crockett leads the Election Day vote, 50% to 39%, suggesting the outcome will depend on which group shows up in larger numbers by the end of Tuesday,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said.
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