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Prediction, pick for Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar at UFC 326
Ryan Wohl breaks down his best bet for Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar which is taking place at UFC 326.
The final fight of the UFC 326 Early Prelims sees Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar in a three-round Flyweight contest. Aguilar has won four of his previous five contests, while Sumudaerji is currently riding a two-fight winning streak.
Check out my best bet for Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar on the UFC 326 Early Prelims.
When first looking at this matchup, the size difference jumps off the page. Sumudaerji is four inches taller (5’8″ vs. 5’4″) while possessing a massive 10-inch reach advantage (72″ vs. 62″). Also on the feet, Sumudaerji is a much better striker, landing 1.83 more significant strikes per minute and being 12 percent more accurate with his punches.
Su Mudaerji vs Jesus Aguilar Pick, 03/07/2026 Predictions UFC 326 Odds
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Su Mudaerji will take on Jesus Aguilar at UFC 326 on Saturday, March 7, 2026. The moneyline has Mudaerji at -200 while Aguilar is coming in at +170.
Su "The Tibetan Eagle" Mudaerji steps into the cage holding a record of 18-7-0. The 30-year-old weighs 125 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter reaches 72". Jesus Aguilar measures in at 5'4" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 12-3-0. The 29-year-old reaches 62". Concerning significant strikes, Su Mudaerji is connecting on 4.48 per minute while Jesus Aguilar lands 2.65 significant strikes per minute. Mudaerji lands 52% of the significant strikes he tries while Aguilar is connecting on 40%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "The Tibetan Eagle" takes 2.39 significant strikes per minute and Aguilar takes 1.85. Mudaerji also deflects 60% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Aguilar stops 62% of the shots thrown in his direction.
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Jesus Aguilar Listed at +170 as Su Mudaerji Favored Ahead of UFC 326 Flyweight Clash
Su Mudaerji and jesus aguilar meet on the UFC 326 Early Prelims in a three-round flyweight bout that has bettors and analysts focused on a stark physical mismatch. The outcome matters because the listed odds and statistical gaps suggest a clear strategic battle: distance striking for Mudaerji versus takedown and control for Aguilar.
Jesus Aguilar enters the Octagon with a 12-3-0 record and a recent run of form that includes four wins in his last five fights. Aguilar averages 1. 64 takedowns per 15 minutes and converted a high share of wrestling opportunities in past contests; his last win came by unanimous decision in round three over Luis Gurule. That ground focus is Aguilar’s clearest path: if he can close the space and execute 1–2 takedowns per round, he can neutralize extended striking exchanges and tilt rounds toward control and top position.
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