Polygon faces major blow as Polymarket migration odds climb | Predict.fun has a new update: “Whic…

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Polygon faces major blow as Polymarket migration odds climb

Polymarket will cease operating its leading prediction market on the Polygon network before 2026 ends, according to traders placing bets on Predict.fun, who have placed the odds that the tandem sticking together past this year at just 26%. Bettors on the same market put the odds of a Polymarket migrating to its own chain at 67%, climbing from 55% earlier this month. 

The curtains are about to drop on the days of Polygon hosting 100% of all of Polymarket’s activity based on recent betting action on the YZi Labs-backed prediction platform Predict.fun. Those odds pour fuel to the fire of earlier Cryptopolitan reports that have pointed out possibilities of Polygon losing its leading source of network activity and revenue generation. 

Predict.fun has a new update: "Which blockchain will Polymarket migrate to in 2026?" The probability of the "new Polymarket chain" is currently reported at 67%

According to the CatcherPredict channel, the prediction market Predict.fun has launched the prediction event "Which blockchain will Polymarket migrate to in 2026?" with a total transaction volume reaching $1.701 million.

Among them, the probability of "new Polymarket chain" migration is currently reported at 67%; the probability of "not migrating in 2026" is currently reported at 26%; the probability for Arbitrum is currently reported at 2%; and the probabilities for Avalanche, Base, MegaETH, Monad, Solana, BNB Chain, and other chains are currently reported at 1%.

The settlement source for this event is the official announcement of the migration from Polymarket (press release, Shayne Coplan, or official X account), non-test transactions occurring on the new chain, and the underlying L1 not being Polygon. If the migration is not completed by December 31, 2026, at 23:59 (ET), the resolution will be "not migrating in 2026."

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Polygon set to lose major activity hub as Polymarket exit odds near 80%

– Traders on Predict.fun price that Polymarket will cease operating its leading prediction market on Polygon by Dec 31, 2026.
– Shutdown risks reducing DeFi prediction-market liquidity and Polygon adoption, creating user and market-making exposure and potential token/fundraising impacts.
– Market-implied expectation signals negative operational risk and sentiment for Polymarket and the broader crypto prediction-market sector.

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