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Today’s ‘stealth’ bear market is ‘one of the most significant opportunities’ – The Kobeissi Letter

The S&P 500 (SP500) is trading just 2% away from a record high, yet analysts at The Kobeissi Letter argue the market is simultaneously experiencing a “stealth” bear market that represents "one of the most significant opportunities in today's market."

According to the financial research firm, 84% of S&P 500 (SP500) stocks are now trading at least 10% below their all-time highs, creating what they call a historic "Bull-Bear" market paradox.

The macroeconomic backdrop has shifted dramatically from the start of 2026, when the Federal Reserve was expected to cut rates at least three times for a total of 75 basis points.

"Today, the Fed has already hiked interest rates once this year and markets see another 3 interest rate hikes by June 2027, for a total of +100 basis points including September's rate hike," the analysts wrote, noting this represents a 175-basis-point swing in rate expectations.

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